Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 14.079601 16.066291 18.194059 20.637903 23.362520 26.301998 29.708374
2024-10-20 10.681245 13.248801 16.196321 19.813150 24.113304 29.043203 35.102406
2024-10-27 8.195448 10.999022 14.433051 18.910224 24.550235 31.372887 40.198620
2024-11-03 7.016913 10.115347 14.137939 19.670673 26.999157 36.280461 48.815515
2024-11-10 6.421471 9.873875 14.595194 21.402004 30.819204 43.223214 60.597544
2024-11-17 5.689096 9.314298 14.526615 22.385176 33.710487 49.180318 71.585421
2024-11-24 4.827155 8.417341 13.843180 22.391053 35.207049 53.334102 80.433902
2024-12-01 3.993212 7.418619 12.858848 21.807397 35.749376 56.139972 87.557334
2024-12-08 3.416195 6.736494 12.259473 21.712266 36.963417 59.950894 96.336183
2024-12-15 3.012601 6.280798 11.954980 22.026027 38.796703 64.766856 106.870364
2024-12-22 2.595312 5.726948 11.404580 21.854603 39.809516 68.360416 115.741201
2024-12-29 2.430859 5.624807 11.627022 23.008817 43.068689 75.656422 130.758165
2025-01-05 2.136275 5.225711 11.278671 23.157094 44.708424 80.576766 142.515839
2025-01-12 1.784124 4.640684 10.498648 22.429084 44.758368 82.890179 150.218323
2025-01-19 1.473288 4.082667 9.688845 21.542178 44.426968 84.516342 156.866363
2025-01-26 1.371110 3.987945 9.812016 22.476709 47.498881 92.164641 174.077638
2025-02-02 1.363987 4.123506 10.439275 24.479808 52.724947 103.885849 198.882057
2025-02-09 1.287169 4.068640 10.641886 25.626427 56.391126 113.038723 219.694861
2025-02-16 1.141056 3.802301 10.332612 25.661174 57.882563 118.343643 234.005140
2025-02-23 0.973254 3.438653 9.743752 25.022349 57.966085 121.047582 243.787790
2025-03-02 0.858526 3.200605 9.419593 24.927466 59.133635 125.820308 257.534451
2025-03-09 0.780805 3.055998 9.304751 25.289626 61.263404 132.513742 275.101042
2025-03-16 0.687109 2.838569 8.971124 25.101877 62.203128 136.949804 288.656828